The story here is essentially over before it began as a live transfer. Lecce have triggered their option to buy Francesco Camarda from AC Milan, formalising the 18-year-old attacker's move rather than leaving it as a matter for ongoing negotiation. The deal has been reported as done and official, with the relevant clauses settled between the two Serie A clubs. There is no fresh bidding war or last-minute hijack in play; the paperwork is the headline. The reporting is strong and consistent. Alfredo Pedulla and Gianluca Di Marzio, both benchmark Italian voices, have each described the move as official, and Nicolo Schira corroborates the mechanics, noting Lecce triggered a roughly €3m option while Milan hold a buyback clause of around €4m. With three credible reporters aligned, the sourcing is about as solid as it gets. The fixed figure of 2% is best read not as doubt over the facts but as a statement that, as a fresh free-agent move yet to complete, this has almost no road left to travel in that form. The option being exercised and the move being declared official means there is very little left that could still swing into place. In short, the probability is a longshot because the event it is tracking has effectively already resolved. The money sits comfortably within Lecce's recent habits. They paid AC Milan £1m for Camarda in 2026, and have spent at this level elsewhere: Fiorentina to Lecce for £4m in 2023, and £4m from R Charleroi SC. The fees fit the club's pattern. Watch for any official confirmation of the buyback terms or a Milan recall, the only remaining triggers worth tracking.