As things stand, this is barely more than a first phone call. Santos have reached out to the agent of Huracán left-back César Ibáñez to ask about terms, while a separate Argentine club is also said to have rung Huracán to register interest. There is no bid, no agreement and no breakthrough — just early groundwork. A fee somewhere between £1.8m and £2.6m has been floated, which sits broadly around the player's £2m valuation, but Ibáñez remains under contract until the end of 2028, giving Huracán no pressure to sell. The story rests on a single, lightly-rated source. German Garcia Grova reported the contact four days ago, and his standing is modest — this is a thin, one-voice link rather than something corroborated across reliable reporters. Treat it as a genuine but unconfirmed early flicker, not a deal in motion. The 13% probability marks this as a clear longshot, and that is the honest read. For it to climb, Santos would need to turn an exploratory call into a concrete offer that satisfies Huracán, who hold all the leverage with a 2028 contract. Right now there is no momentum, no rival forcing the pace and no sign the selling club wants to move — which is exactly why the number is so low. The money would be in keeping with how Santos operate. They paid Club Brugge £2m in 2021 and Palmeiras £2m for similar additions, so a fee around £2m fits their pattern. Watch for the next trigger: an actual bid lodged with Huracán, or the rival Argentine interest hardening into a competing offer.