“🚨 Excl. - #Fiorentina are monitoring #Cagliari’s goalkeeper Elia #Caprile for the next season.”
Broke 23h ago ·
- Estimated fee
- €19m–€27m
- Value
- €25m
- Reporters
- 1 credible
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted.
FiorentinaThis rumour- Other clubNot yet named
Stays at CagliariNo move
- Reporting1 trusted reporterNicolo SchiraFor the move
- ContractRuns to June 20292 years 8 months leftAgainst the move
- FiorentinaSpending close to its limitAgainst the move
- FeeEstimated €19m–€27mValue €25m
The story so far
1 report · newest firstNicolo SchiraTrust 72First reportFirst reportReport
Chance it happens in JanuaryLong shot
14%
- Estimated fee
- €19m–€27m
- Value
- €25m Powered by
Fiorentina monitoring Caprile, but the interest points to next season
The situation
Fiorentina have one eye on Cagliari's goalkeeper Elia Caprile, but this is not a January story. Nicolo Schira's exclusive report frames it as interest for next season, meaning any move would land in a much later window, not the one that opens on 1 January 2027. There is no bid, no approach and no asking price in the reporting, just a club keeping tabs on a goalkeeper they like.
The reporting
Nicolo Schira first reported it on 10 November, calling it an exclusive, and nothing else carries the story at this point. That leaves a single voice on this one, with no other outlet matching the claim or adding detail. Until someone else reports movement, this is Schira's story alone.
The outlook
Given the report explicitly points to next season rather than the immediate window, the chance of anything concrete happening before the January deadline is slim. Caprile has 30 months left on his contract once that window opens, running to 30 June 2029, so Cagliari are under no pressure to sell quickly. For this to go anywhere, Fiorentina would need to move from watching to actually opening talks, and that looks like a conversation for the summer rather than January.
What happens next
Caprile is valued at €25m, a number worth remembering if Fiorentina do eventually act. What would change this is simple: a concrete approach from Fiorentina, contract movement at Cagliari, or a fresh report confirming interest has turned into talks.
Sources the analyst weighedNicolo SchiraTrust 72
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Historical precedent
2023
Napoli from Bari€2.2m
Napoli from Bari€2.2m2022
Bari from Leeds U21€1.8m
Bari from Leeds U21€1.8mElia Caprile’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.
Who is behind this story
Nicolo SchiraFirst report
Journalist · Global
1 report on this storyfirst 10 Nov
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Elia Caprile to join Fiorentina?
Transfer Tracker rates Elia Caprile to Fiorentina at 14%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.
What is the expected Elia Caprile transfer fee?
Transfer Tracker estimates the fee for Elia Caprile to Fiorentina at around €19m–€27m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €25m.
Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.