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Single aggregator reportBroke 10d ago ·
Attacker · 29y · Italy · contract until 2028
2%
Chance it happens in January

No trusted reporter yet. Stories like this complete 6 in 100 times.

Carried by fussball-news via Transfer News Live (aggregator).
Fee
Not reported
Powered by Transfer TrackerValue
€10m
Reporters
1
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted. Open a club for its rumour.
What the number is based on
  • ReportingNo trusted reporterOne aggregator reportAgainst the move
  • ContractRuns to June 20281 year 8 months left
  • LazioSpending under pressureAgainst the move
  • FeeNot reportedValue €10m
The story so far
1 report · newest first
  1. fussball-newsTrust 46Earliest mentionEarliest mentionvia Transfer News LiveFull post

    “🚨 Inter Milan have opened informal discussions with Liverpool over a January move for Federico Chiesa. AC Milan, AS Roma, Atalanta and Lazio are also interested in the 29-year-old, who has struggled for playing time.”

Chance it happens in January
2%
Long shot
Value
€10m
Powered byTransfer Tracker

Chiesa talk centres on Inter, not Lazio, say unverified reports

The situation

Federico Chiesa's name is back in circulation, but the detail points away from Lazio and towards Inter Milan. The only recent report describes Inter opening informal discussions with Liverpool about a January move, with AC Milan, Roma, Atalanta and Lazio also named as interested parties. There is no sign of direct contact between Liverpool and Lazio specifically, and nothing to suggest talks of that kind have taken place.

The reporting

The story traces back to fussball-news, whose report was carried by Transfer News Live by 30 October. No trusted reporter has backed any of it, and every outlet running with it is a tabloid or an aggregator repeating that same original claim rather than adding fresh detail. That leaves one voice behind the whole story, not several.

The outlook

Given that, a Lazio move before the January window shuts looks unlikely. Chiesa has 18 months left on his Liverpool contract when the window opens on 1 January 2027, so Liverpool are under no pressure to sell him cheaply, and the interest described so far centres on Inter rather than Lazio. For this to happen, Lazio would need to turn vague interest into an actual approach, and Liverpool would need to be willing to let him go for a fee well short of what they paid.

The context

Chiesa is valued at €10m. Liverpool brought him in from Juventus for €12m in August 2024, so even a fee near that figure would represent little more than Liverpool recouping their outlay, not a profit.

What happens next

What would change things is a concrete bid from Lazio, or confirmation that the Inter discussions have hardened into something formal once the window opens on 1 January.

Sources the analyst weighedfussball-news via Transfer News LiveTrust 46
Written by the Transfer Tracker Analyst from the reports on this page, checked against our live numbers
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Historical precedent
2024JuventusLiverpoolLiverpool from Juventus€12m
2022FiorentinaJuventusJuventus from Fiorentina€45m

Federico Chiesa’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.

Who is behind this story
Transfer News LiveEarliest mention
Outlet · Global · Quoting fussball-news
1 report on this storyfirst 30 Oct
Trust 46
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Federico Chiesa to join Lazio?

Transfer Tracker rates Federico Chiesa to Lazio at 2%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.

Where else could Federico Chiesa go?

Besides Lazio, Transfer Tracker's model rates Federico Chiesa's other live options as Valencia 3%, AC Milan 1%, Inter 1%.

Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.