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Josko Gvardiol to FC Barcelona

Defender · 24y · Croatia · contract until 2031
2%
Chance it happens in January

No trusted reporter yet. Stories like this complete 6 in 100 times.

Carried by Sport Witness (aggregator), Fichajes.net (aggregator) and Mundo Deportivo via Transfer News Live (aggregator).
Reported fee
€100m
Powered by Transfer TrackerValue
€77m
Reporters
1
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted.
  • FC BarcelonaFC BarcelonaThis rumour
  • Other clubNot yet named
  • Man CityStays at Man CityNo move
What the number is based on
  • ReportingNo trusted reporter3 outlets, all tabloids or aggregatorsAgainst the move
  • ContractRuns to June 20314 years 8 months leftAgainst the move
  • FC BarcelonaLimited room to spendMoves from Premier League to La Liga are rareAgainst the move
  • FeeReported €100mValue €77m
The story so far
3 reports · newest first
  1. Mundo DeportivoTrust 46via Transfer News LiveFull post

    “🚨 Barcelona remain interested in Manchester City defender Josko Gvardiol, who is one of Hansi Flick's preferred targets. The 24-year-old signed a new contract until June 2031, and Manchester City have no intention of selling him.”

  2. Fichajes.netTrust 45AggregatorAggregatorReport

    “Gvardiol, el fichaje más difícil para el Barça. El defensa croata es uno de los jugadores que más gustan a Hansi Flick para mejorar la zaga culé…”

  3. Sport WitnessTrust 55Earliest mentionEarliest mentionFull post

    “Dream of signing Manchester City player on front page – Hoping for City destruction. Barcelona haven’t given up on signing Manchester City‘s Joško Gvardiol, after looking at him in the summer window.”

Quotes in Spanish are shown as written. English translations are added for major stories.

Chance it happens in January
2%
Long shot
Reported fee
€100m
Value
€77m
Powered byTransfer Tracker

Gvardiol to Barcelona: interest, but City won't sell

The situation

Barcelona are still being linked with Josko Gvardiol, but the newest reports make clear this is interest rather than anything close to a deal. Mundo Deportivo's reporting, relayed by Transfer News Live on 4 November, says Hansi Flick rates the Croatian highly but states plainly that Manchester City have no intention of selling and that no negotiations are happening. Fichajes.net adds that Gvardiol himself reportedly wants to stay in England. With City's stance what it is, there is no January move to speak of here, whatever the speculation.

The reporting

No trusted reporter has backed this story. Transfer News Live and Fichajes.net are the outlets carrying it now, both repeating or echoing Mundo Deportivo's front page, and Sport Witness was carrying it by 31 October, also relaying that same Mundo Deportivo line rather than reporting anything fresh. That is one voice passed around, not several separate ones confirming it.

The outlook

The chance of this happening before the January window shuts is a long one. Manchester City are not negotiating, Gvardiol has 54 months left on his contract from the moment that window opens, and he is said to prefer staying put. Barcelona's admiration alone will not move City off that position.

What happens next

Gvardiol is valued at €78m today, well below the over €100m figure Mundo Deportivo floated for a potential transfer, though with City refusing to sell, neither number means much yet. Only a genuine change of heart at City, a concrete offer, or a shift in Gvardiol's own thinking would put this back in play.

Sources the analyst weighedSport WitnessTrust 55Fichajes.netTrust 45Mundo Deportivo via Transfer News LiveTrust 46
Written by the Transfer Tracker Analyst from the reports on this page, checked against our live numbers
Follow for alerts
Money trail
Reported fee €100mValue €77m
€100mTransfer News Live
Historical precedent
2023LeipzigMan CityMan City from Leipzig€90m
2021Dinamo ZagrebLeipzigLeipzig from Dinamo Zagreb€37m

Josko Gvardiol’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.

Who is behind this story
Fichajes.netAggregator
Outlet · La Liga
1 report on this storyfirst 3 Nov
Trust 45
Sport WitnessEarliest mention
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 31 Oct
Trust 55
Transfer News LiveAggregator
Outlet · Global · Quoting Mundo Deportivo
1 report on this storyfirst 4 Nov
Trust 46
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Josko Gvardiol to join FC Barcelona?

Transfer Tracker rates Josko Gvardiol to FC Barcelona at 2%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.

What is the expected Josko Gvardiol transfer fee?

Reports put the fee for Josko Gvardiol to FC Barcelona at around €100m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €77m.

Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.