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Broke 14h ago ·
Midfielder · 35y · Belgium · contract until 2027
29%
Chance it happens in January
Estimated fee
€3m–€4m
Powered by Transfer TrackerValue
€5m
Reporters
5 credible
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted. Open a club for its rumour.
What the number is based on
  • Reporting5 trusted reportersNicolo Schira, Rik Elfrink and othersFor the move
  • ContractRuns to June 2027His club holds an option to extend
  • PSVRoom to spendFor the move
  • FeeEstimated €3m–€4mValue €5m
The story so far
8 reports · newest first
  1. Pieter-Jan CalcoenTrust 80Second-handSecond-handReport

    “Het is lang niet zeker dat Napoli KDB deze winter wil laten gaan. Er zal in principe wel gesproken worden over een eventuele transfer, en mocht er een opening zijn, zal #PSV sowieso een piste zijn die overwogen wordt. Zie @nieuwsbladsport.”

    Nicolo SchiraTrust 72Report

    “#Napoli have opened the door to a possible Kevin #DeBruyne’s sale during the winter transfer window. As an exclusive revealed yesterday, #PSV are really interested in him and are preparing a bid to submit to Napoli. Positive first talks between PSV and KDB’s agents.”

  2. Telesport (De Telegraaf sport)Trust 84NewspaperNewspaperFull post

    “PSV aast op enorme transferstunt: landskampioen legt contact met Kevin De Bruyne, die in januari weg mag bij Napoli. PSV verraste de afgelopen jaren al vaker met het binnenhalen van grote namen als Mario Götze en Ivan Perisic en heeft in die categorie een nieuwe transferstunt…”

    Voetbal InternationalTrust 88MagazineMagazineReport

    “Transfers PSV: De Bruyne en club hadden al contact. VI volgt het transfernieuws bij PSV op de voet. De doelwitten van de Eindhovenaren, duiding van de clubwatcher, of aandacht in buitenlandse media. We verzamelen alles hier.”

    Rik ElfrinkTrust 83Club reporterClub reporterReport

    “PSV jaagt op Kevin De Bruyne en ziet zeker kans op ‘astronomische’ transfer.”

    Nicolo SchiraTrust 72First reportFirst reportReport

    “#PSV have asked info for Kevin #DeBruyne, who could leave #Napoli in the next months.”

Quotes in Dutch are shown as written. English translations are added for major stories.

Chance it happens in January
29%
Outside chance
Estimated fee
€3m–€4m
Value
€5m
Powered byTransfer Tracker

PSV preparing bid for De Bruyne as Napoli weigh January exit

The situation

PSV are pushing to sign Kevin De Bruyne from Napoli, and the story has quickened in the last two days. Nicolo Schira reports that PSV are preparing a bid to submit to Napoli and have held positive first talks with the player's agents, with Napoli having opened the door to a sale in the January window, which opens on 1 January 2027. The 35-year-old's contract runs until 30 June 2027, with a club option to extend by a year.

The reporting

Schira first reported it on 11 November, saying PSV had asked Napoli for information. Dutch outlets carry it too: Telesport, Voetbal International and Rik Elfrink all reported on 11 November that PSV have made contact, with Elfrink describing the chance of an 'astronomical' transfer while stressing a deal is 'not yet a fact'. Pieter-Jan Calcoen relayed those Dutch reports on 12 November, adding that it is far from certain Napoli will let him leave this winter.

The outlook

This is against the odds. The interest is real and the first contact has happened, but no fee has been reported and Napoli's willingness to sell in January is not settled. For it to move, PSV need to turn their preparations into an actual bid, and Napoli need to decide they will part with him mid-season.

What to watch

The trigger to watch for is PSV lodging the bid Schira says they are preparing, and Napoli signalling clearly whether they will sell in January or hold him to the summer.

Sources the analyst weighedNicolo SchiraTrust 72Rik ElfrinkTrust 83Voetbal InternationalTrust 88Pieter-Jan CalcoenTrust 80
Written by the Transfer Tracker Analyst from the reports on this page, checked against our live numbers
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Historical precedent
2015WolfsburgMan CityMan City from Wolfsburg€76m
Chelsea from Genk€8m
Wolfsburg from Chelsea€22m

Kevin De Bruyne’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.

Who is behind this story
Nicolo SchiraFirst report
Journalist · Global
2 reports on this storyfirst 11 Nov
Trust 72
Voetbal International
Outlet · Eredivisie
1 report on this storyfirst 11 Nov
Trust 88
Telesport (De Telegraaf sport)
Outlet · Eredivisie
1 report on this storyfirst 11 Nov
Trust 84
Rik Elfrink
Journalist · Netherlands
2 reports on this storyfirst 11 Nov
Trust 83
Pieter-Jan CalcoenRepeats another report
Journalist · Belgium
2 reports on this storyfirst 12 Nov
Trust 80
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Kevin De Bruyne to join PSV?

Transfer Tracker rates Kevin De Bruyne to PSV at 29%, an outside chance on the current reporting from 5 reporters.

What is the expected Kevin De Bruyne transfer fee?

Transfer Tracker estimates the fee for Kevin De Bruyne to PSV at around €3m–€4m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €5m.

Where else could Kevin De Bruyne go?

Besides PSV, Transfer Tracker's model rates Kevin De Bruyne's other live options as Everton 1%.

Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.