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Tabloid reports onlyBroke 6d ago ·

Mikel Merino to Atlético de Madrid

Midfielder · 30y · Spain · contract until 2028
3%
Chance it happens in January

No trusted reporter yet. Stories like this complete 6 in 100 times.

Carried by @guardian via Transfer News Live (aggregator), El Gol Digital (tabloid), Mirror Football (tabloid) and El Desmarque (tabloid).
Reported fee
Reported €30m
Powered by Transfer TrackerValue
€19m
Reporters
3
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted.
  • AtléticoAtléticoThis rumour
  • Other clubNot yet named
  • ArsenalStays at ArsenalNo move
What the number is based on
  • ReportingNo trusted reporter4 outlets, all tabloids or aggregatorsAgainst the move
  • ContractRuns to June 20281 year 8 months left
  • Atlético de MadridSpending close to its limitMoves from Premier League to La Liga are rareAgainst the move
  • FeeReported €30mValue €19m
The story so far
6 reports · newest first
  1. El DesmarqueTrust 55TabloidTabloidReport

    “El fichaje de Mikel Merino por el Atlético de Madrid está sujeto a dos condiciones…”

  2. Mirror FootballTrust 60TabloidTabloidReport

    “Mikel Arteta decision to force Arsenal transfer exit as player's father speaks his mind. Mikel Merino has played a limited role for Arsenal this season, starting just once in the Premier League…”

    In the article“Spanish outlet La Razon (via Sport Witness) claims Atletico Madrid are interested in signing him on loan with an option to buy.”

  3. El Gol DigitalTrust 52TabloidTabloidFull post

    “Mikel Merino sale a 30 millones y una plaza europea lo acercaría al Athletic. La cesión que estudia el Atlético fija 30 millones por Mikel Merino, 8,5 por debajo de lo que pagó el Arsenal. Europa abriría la puja del Athletic.”

  4. El Gol DigitalTrust 52TabloidTabloidReport

    “¿Llega Mikel Merino al Atlético en enero? Cesión con opción de compra de 30 millones: el navarro pierde terreno con Arteta y su nombre emerge con fuerza en el Metropolitano…”

    El Gol DigitalTrust 52First reportFirst reportFull post

    “Mikel Merino entra en la agenda del Atlético como cesión con opción de compra de 30 millones. El mediapunta navarro pierde terreno en la consideración de Arteta y su nombre emerge con fuerza en el Metropolitano. Enero, el mes clave.”

    guardianTrust 46Earliest mentionEarliest mentionvia Transfer News LiveFull post

    “🚨 Atletico Madrid are considering a January loan move for Arsenal midfielder Mikel Merino. Diego Simeone admires the 30-year-old's versatility, while Merino is seeking more regular playing time under Mikel Arteta.”

Quotes in Spanish are shown as written. English translations are added for major stories.

Chance it happens in January
3%
Long shot
Reported fee
Reported €30m
Value
€19m
Powered byTransfer Tracker

Merino to Atlético: loan talk builds, but nothing confirmed

The situation

Mikel Merino's standing at Arsenal has thinned out fast, and Atlético de Madrid are said to be circling with a January loan in mind. El Desmarque reports on 6 November that any deal is tied to two conditions, which points to talks still being shaped rather than settled. Earlier reporting from El Gol Digital frames it as a loan with an option to buy worth €30m, a figure repeated across several of their pieces since 3 November, with Athletic also mentioned as interested if a European place opens up. Mirror Football, relaying a report from La Razon, adds that Merino has started just once in the Premier League this season and that his father has spoken out over his lack of game time.

The reporting

No trusted reporter has backed any of this. Every outlet carrying it is a tabloid or an aggregator, led by El Gol Digital's repeated claims and amplified by Transfer News Live, which was carrying a Guardian report by 3 November rather than breaking it themselves. That is several outlets echoing largely the same loan-with-option framing, not separate strands of confirmation.

The outlook

Treat this as a longshot for January. A loan with a buy option still needs Arsenal's agreement, Merino's own willingness to drop into the Spanish top flight, and Atlético squeezing it into a tight winter window. Nothing here suggests Arsenal are ready to let him go that cheaply, and the two conditions El Desmarque mentions are still unexplained.

What happens next

A concrete offer from Atlético, or Arsenal confirming they would sanction a loan, would change the picture. Until then this sits as speculation shaped around the January window opening on 1 January 2027.

Sources the analyst weighed@guardian via Transfer News LiveTrust 46El Gol DigitalTrust 52Mirror FootballTrust 60El DesmarqueTrust 55
Written by the Transfer Tracker Analyst from the reports on this page, checked against our live numbers
Follow for alerts
Money trail
Value €19m
€30m2 sources
Historical precedent
2024Real SociedadArsenalArsenal from Real Sociedad€32m
2018NewcastleReal SociedadReal Sociedad from Newcastle€12m
2018DortmundNewcastleNewcastle from Dortmund€7m
2016CA OsasunaDortmundDortmund from CA Osasuna€3.8m

Mikel Merino’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.

Who is behind this story
El Gol DigitalFirst report
Outlet · LaLiga
3 reports on this storyfirst 3 Nov
Trust 52
Transfer News LiveEarliest mention
Outlet · Global · Quoting @guardian
1 report on this storyfirst 3 Nov
Trust 46
Mirror FootballTabloid
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 5 Nov
Trust 60
El DesmarqueTabloid
Outlet · LaLiga
1 report on this storyfirst 6 Nov
Trust 55
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Mikel Merino to join Atlético de Madrid?

Transfer Tracker rates Mikel Merino to Atlético de Madrid at 3%, a longshot on the current reporting from 3 reporters.

Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.