Tabloid reports onlyBroke 18d ago · Updated 4d ago

Álex Baena to Arsenal

Atlético

Arsenal

Attacker · 25y · Spain · contract until 2030

Chance it happens in January

No trusted reporter yet. Stories like this complete 6 in 100 times.

Carried by FootballTransfers (aggregator), CaughtOffside (aggregator), TEAMtalk (tabloid), Football Insider via Transfer News Live, CaughtOffside (tabloid), El Nacional via Transfer News Live (aggregator), El Gol Digital (tabloid) and Ekrem Konur via Transfer News Live (aggregator).

Reported fee: €43m–€80m
Value: €73m
Reporters: 2

Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted. Open a club for its rumour.

ArsenalThis rumour
BayernRumour page
SpursRumour page
Other clubNot yet named
Stays at AtléticoNo move

What the number is based on

ReportingNo trusted reporter7 outlets, all tabloids or aggregatorsAgainst the move
ContractRuns to June 20303 years 8 months leftAgainst the move
ArsenalRoom to spendMoves from La Liga to Premier League are commonFor the move
FeeReported €43m–€80mValue €73m

The story so far

3 reports · newest first

Thursday
Ekrem KonurTrust 30via Transfer News LiveFull post
“🚨 Arsenal have identified Atletico Madrid winger Álex Baena as a priority target to strengthen their left flank. Bayern Munich are also interested in the 25-year-old Spaniard, who could cost around €80M.”
Wednesday
TEAMtalkTrust 55via ESPN FCReport
“Transfer rumors, news: Arsenal want Atlético Madrid winger. Arsenal are keeping tabs on Atlético Madrid winger Álex Baena. Transfer Talk has the latest.”
Thursday
FootballTransfersTrust 55First reportFirst reportReport
“EXCLUSIVE: Arsenal revive interest in Atletico Madrid star Baena. Arsenal are targeting a potential January transfer for Atletico Madrid’s World Cup-winning winger Alex Baena, FootballTransfers can reveal.”

Chance it happens in January

Long shot

Reported fee: €43m–€80m
Value: €73m

AuthorTransfer Tracker AnalystLast updated10 Nov 2026StatusUp to date

Arsenal's Baena interest real, but a 2027 story, not January

The situation

Arsenal's interest in Álex Baena has not gone away, but the latest reports actually point to a later window than January. Tabloid coverage this month has Arsenal and Bayern Munich both tracking the Atlético Madrid winger, with his exit valued around €80m, and some of the same reporting suggests Arteta's camp has shifted its planning towards next summer rather than forcing anything in the new year. There is no bid, no talks and no club-side contact reported at any point in this run of stories.

The reporting

FootballTransfers first reported it on 22 October, framing it as a January target. Since then it has been carried and recycled by outlets including Transfer News Live, El Gol Digital, TEAMtalk, CaughtOffside and ESPN FC relaying TEAMtalk, several of them repeating each other rather than adding fresh detail. No trusted reporter has backed any of it, and every outlet running with it is a tabloid or an aggregator.

The outlook

On the evidence here this is a long way from happening in January. With no approach made, no talks opened and Atlético showing no appetite to sell mid-contract, the chance of a deal before the next window shuts is slim, and what coverage exists increasingly reads as scene-setting for a 2027 summer move rather than an imminent raid.

What happens next

What would actually move this on is Arsenal lodging a real bid, Atlético shifting from their refusal to engage, or the interest resurfacing with concrete terms once the January window opens on 1 January 2027 and runs to 1 February 2027.

Sources the analyst weighed

FootballTransfersTrust 55