“🚨 Bayern Munich are considering Bernd Leno and Loris Karius as potential goalkeeping reinforcements. Manuel Neuer could retire at the end of the season, with 23-year-old Jonas Urbig viewed as his possible successor.”
Broke 16h ago ·
- Estimated fee
- €2m–€3m
- Value
- €4m
- Reporters
- 1 credible
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted.
BayernThis rumour- Other clubNot yet named
Stays at FulhamNo move
- Reporting1 trusted reporterSky Sport Deutschland (Florian Plettenberg)For the move
- ContractRuns to June 2027His club holds an option to extend
- FC Bayern MünchenRoom to spendNeeds a goalkeeperFor the move
- FeeEstimated €2m–€3mValue €4m
The story so far
2 reports · newest firstSky Sport DeutschlandTrust 46via Transfer News LiveFull post Florian PlettenbergTrust 83First reportFirst reportFull post “🚨🆕 Bernd Leno is also very high on FC Bayern’s shortlist. 34 y/o can very well imagine a move to Bayern and considers the proposed role very interesting. It would also bring him closer to his hometown of Stuttgart. However, Fulham have an option to extend until 2028.”
Chance it happens in JanuaryLong shot
8%
- Estimated fee
- €2m–€3m
- Value
- €4m Powered by
Leno on Bayern shortlist as Fulham hold extension option
Written on 10 Nov 2026, before the latest reports. The ring above is live.
The situation
Bayern München have Bernd Leno high on their goalkeeping shortlist, and the 34 year old is open to the idea. According to the latest reporting, Leno finds the role Bayern have in mind interesting, and the move would bring him closer to his hometown of Stuttgart. There is no bid and no agreement here, only genuine interest at this stage. One complication is already clear: Fulham hold an option to extend his contract, which runs until 2027 with that one-year extension available, so a transfer fee would be in play rather than a free departure.
The reporting
Florian Plettenberg first reported it on 9 November, with Sky Sport DE relaying the story. That is the single source carrying this, and no other outlet has matched it so far. What exists is one report of interest, not a negotiation.
The outlook
The chance of this completing in the January window is slim. Bayern have not lodged an offer, Fulham can keep him under their option, and nothing beyond mutual interest has emerged. For it to gain life, Bayern would need to turn a shortlist name into an actual approach, and Fulham would have to signal they will let him go rather than trigger the extension.
What happens next
What would change the picture is concrete: a first Bayern bid, or word from Fulham that they intend to cash in on a player they value at €4m while his deal runs down. Until Bayern put a figure on the table, this stays a story about a goalkeeper who likes the sound of a return home.
Sources the analyst weighedFlorian PlettenbergTrust 83
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Historical precedent
2022
Fulham from Arsenal€3.6m
Fulham from Arsenal€3.6m2018
Arsenal from Leverkusen€25m
Arsenal from Leverkusen€25m2012Leverkusen from Stuttgart€7.8m
Bernd Leno’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.
Who is behind this story
Florian PlettenbergFirst report
Journalist · Global
1 report on this storyfirst 9 Nov
Transfer News LiveAggregator
Outlet · Global · Quoting Sky Sport Deutschland
1 report on this storyfirst 10 Nov
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Bernd Leno to join FC Bayern München?
Transfer Tracker rates Bernd Leno to FC Bayern München at 8%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.
What is the expected Bernd Leno transfer fee?
Transfer Tracker estimates the fee for Bernd Leno to FC Bayern München at around €2m–€3m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €4m.
Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.