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Aggregator reports onlyBroke 3d ago ·

Castello Lukeba to Liverpool

Defender · 23y · France · contract until 2029
3%
Chance it happens in January

No trusted reporter yet. Stories like this complete 6 in 100 times.

Carried by CaughtOffside (aggregator) and Sport Witness (aggregator).
Fee
Not reported
Powered by Transfer TrackerValue
€55m
Reporters
2
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted. Open a club for its rumour.
What the number is based on
  • ReportingNo trusted reporter2 outlets, all tabloids or aggregatorsAgainst the move
  • ContractRuns to June 20292 years 8 months leftAgainst the move
  • LiverpoolSpending close to its limitMoves from Bundesliga to Premier League are commonAgainst the move
  • FeeNot reportedValue €55m
The story so far
2 reports · newest first
  1. Sport WitnessTrust 55AggregatorAggregatorFull post

    “Castello Lukeba changes agents for transfer – Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United all in. RB Leipzig defender Castello Lukeba is a name to keep an eye on in the coming months, particularly as Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester United were keen last year.”

    CaughtOffsideTrust 50Earliest mentionEarliest mentionFull post

    ““Major battle” – Liverpool & Chelsea among suitors for potential €80m transfer. Liverpool and Chelsea are reportedly among the biggest suitors for the transfer of RB Leipzig centre-back Castello Lukeba.”

Chance it happens in January
3%
Long shot
Value
€55m
Powered byTransfer Tracker

Lukeba linked with Liverpool as Leipzig hold firm

The situation

Castello Lukeba's name is doing the rounds again, with Liverpool among the clubs linked to the RB Leipzig centre-back. The 23-year-old France defender joined Leipzig for €30m from Olympique Lyonnais on 11 August 2023, and he is under contract until 30 June 2029. No Premier League window is open now. The next runs from 1 January to 1 February 2027, and the reports frame this as interest over the coming months rather than a January move. Chelsea are also in the picture, and Manchester United, Barcelona and Bayern have been mentioned too.

The reporting

The sourcing is slim. Sport Witness and CaughtOffside both carried versions on 6 November, each repeating someone else: Sport Witness relays that Lukeba has changed agents and wants a top club, while CaughtOffside relays a multi-club link from Ekrem Konur, naming an €80m release clause previously reported. CaughtOffside was carrying it by 6 November. No trusted reporter has backed any of it. Every outlet carrying it is a tabloid or an aggregator, and they amount to one claim passed around, not several voices.

The outlook

This is a longshot for January. No club has made a concrete move, no bid has been reported, and the interest is described as warm rather than active. With 30 months left on his contract when the window opens, Leipzig hold all the cards.

What happens next

What would change it is a real approach: a named club lodging a bid, or a report that Leipzig are willing to let him go. Until a figure and a buyer are attached, this stays a rumour.

Sources the analyst weighedCaughtOffsideTrust 50Sport WitnessTrust 55
Written by the Transfer Tracker Analyst from the reports on this page, checked against our live numbers
Follow for alerts
Historical precedent
2023LyonLeipzigLeipzig from Lyon€30m

Castello Lukeba’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.

Who is behind this story
CaughtOffsideEarliest mention
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 6 Nov
Trust 50
Sport WitnessAggregator
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 6 Nov
Trust 55
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Castello Lukeba to join Liverpool?

Transfer Tracker rates Castello Lukeba to Liverpool at 3%, a longshot on the current reporting from 2 reporters.

Where else could Castello Lukeba go?

Besides Liverpool, Transfer Tracker's model rates Castello Lukeba's other live options as Chelsea 1%.

Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.