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Broke 84d ago ·

Endrick to Roma

Attacker · 20y · Brazil · contract until 2030
1%
Chance it happens−26 since first report
Estimated fee
€55m–€78m
Powered by Transfer TrackerValuehow
€73m
Reporters
1 credible
Where he ends upEvery outcome, adding up to 100%. Open a club for its rumour.
The story so far
NowDown 22%since Thu · was 23%4 reports · newest first
  1. 23%1%▼ 22%
    Madrid Xtra50AggregatorAggregatorReport

    “🚨 JUST IN: Endrick is NOT guaranteed to stay at Real Madrid in January. It will depend on his playing time. Roma and Milan are VERY interested.”

  2. 27%23%▼ 4%
    Alfredo Pedulla84Report

    “Esclusiva: Endrick-#Roma: contatti anche in giornata con gli agenti. Il #Real deciderà entro una settimana se mandarlo a giocare oppure no. La Roma avrà chance, pur essendoci concorrenza, se il Real e gli agenti converranno per un prestito…”

    Translated from Italian by Transfer TrackerExclusive: Endrick-Roma: contacts with the agents again today. Real will decide within a week whether to send him out on loan or not. Roma will have a chance, despite competition, if Real and the agents agree on a loan

    Alfredo Pedulla84Report

    “#Endrick-#Roma: contatti anche in giornata con gli agenti. Il #Real deciderà entro una settimana se mandarlo a giocare oppure no. La Roma avrà chance, pur essendoci concorrenza, se il Real e gli agenti converranno per un prestito…”

    Translated from Italian by Transfer TrackerEndrick-Roma: contacts with the agents again today. Real will decide within a week whether to send him out on loan or not. Roma will have a chance, despite competition, if Real and the agents agree on a loan

  3. Held at 27%
    Alfredo Pedulla84First reportFirst reportReport

    “#Endrick, la #Roma conosce la situazione da oltre un mese. Molto interessata al prestito, il #Real deve decidere e non vorrà perdere il controllo del cartellino.”

    Translated from Italian by Transfer TrackerEndrick, Roma have known about the situation for over a month. Very interested in a loan deal, Real must decide and won't want to lose control of his registration. Competition and the situation to be assessed in another phase of the market

Chance it happens
1%
Long shot
Estimated fee
€55m–€78m
Value
€73m
Powered byTransfer Tracker

Roma push for Endrick loan as Real Madrid weigh his future

The situation

Roma want Endrick on loan, and the live picture is exactly that: interest, with nothing agreed. The 20-year-old Brazilian signed for Real Madrid until 2030, and Madrid hold every card here. The Italian read is that Roma made Endrick a priority after missing out in the summer, with the whole thing hinging on one Madrid decision: send the forward out for minutes, or keep him in the building. A permanent deal would land somewhere between €55m and €78m, well above his roughly €40m value, which is why the loan route is the only one in play.

The reporting

The reporting runs through Alfredo Pedulla, a well-regarded Italian voice, who carries real weight on Serie A business. He has returned to this twice in early August, flagging direct contact with Endrick's agents and a Madrid call due within a week. It is credible single-source reporting rather than something corroborated widely, so treat the detail as solid but not yet nailed down.

The outlook

This is a long shot. Everything depends on Madrid agreeing to loan a player they would rather control, and Pedulla himself notes Roma face competition for the signature. Until Real decide Endrick needs games elsewhere, and agree to release him, the odds stay against a Roma move.

What to watch

Watch for Madrid's decision on whether Endrick leaves at all. That call, promised within a week, unlocks or kills everything.

Sources the analyst weighedAlfredo Pedulla84
Written by the Transfer Tracker Analyst from the reports on this page, checked against our live numbersHow this is judged
Follow for alerts
Historical precedent
2024PalmeirasReal MadridReal Madrid from Palmeiras€48m

Endrick’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.

Who is behind this story
Alfredo PedullaFirst reportReports interest
Journalist · Global
3 reports on this storyfirst 31 Jul
84trust
Madrid XtraRepeats another reportAggregator
Outlet · LaLiga
1 report on this storyfirst 23 Oct
50trust
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Endrick to join Roma?

Transfer Tracker rates Endrick to Roma at 1%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.

What is the expected Endrick transfer fee?

Reports put the fee for Endrick to Roma at around €55m–€78m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €73m.

Where else could Endrick go?

Besides Roma, Transfer Tracker's model rates Endrick's other live options as AC Milan 6%, Liverpool 6%, Manchester United 3%.

Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice · Methodology