Google Analytics cookies only if you accept. Cookie policy

Skip to content
Tabloid reports only

Ivan Toney to Newcastle United

Attacker · 30y · England · contract until 2028
1%
Chance it happens in January

No trusted reporter yet. Stories like this complete 6 in 100 times.

Carried by Sport Witness (aggregator), CaughtOffside (aggregator), Khalid Al-Shenaif via Transfer News Live (aggregator) and Football Insider (tabloid).
Fee
Not reported
Powered by Transfer TrackerValue
€19m
Reporters
1
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted. Open a club for its rumour.
What the number is based on
  • ReportingNo trusted reporter4 outlets, all tabloids or aggregatorsAgainst the move
  • ContractRuns to June 20281 year 8 months left
  • Newcastle UnitedSpending close to its limitMoves from Pro League to Premier League are commonAgainst the move
  • FeeNot reportedValue €19m
The story so far
8 reports · newest first
  1. Football InsiderTrust 46via Transfer News LiveFull post

    “🚨 Newcastle United are considering a January move for Al-Ahli striker Ivan Toney to strengthen their attack. The 30-year-old scored 72 goals in 93 appearances under current Newcastle manager Matthias Jaissle at Al-Ahli.”

    CaughtOffsideTrust 50AggregatorAggregatorFull post

    ““On their radar” – Newcastle could rival Man United for proven Premier League striker this January. Newcastle United could reportedly be set to rival Manchester United for the potential transfer of former Premier League striker Ivan Toney this January.”

  2. Football InsiderTrust 55TabloidTabloidReport

    “Newcastle set sights on Ivan Toney ahead of January - transfer expert…”

  3. CaughtOffsideTrust 46via Transfer News LiveFull post

    “🚨 Manchester United have identified Ivan Toney as a serious option ahead of the January transfer window, with the club already making enquiries about the Al Ahli striker.”

  4. Sport WitnessTrust 55AggregatorAggregatorFull post

    “Player ‘completely open’ to joining Newcastle United – Ross Wilson shares Jaissle’s stance on signing. Newcastle United have received encouragement to sign Ivan Toney, after the Al-Ahli star left the door open to join the Premier League side under certain conditions.”

  5. Sport WitnessTrust 55Earliest mentionEarliest mentionFull post

    “Jaissle ‘definitely wants’ Newcastle United to make specific signing – Could change season. Newcastle United manager Matthias Jaissle is leading the Premier League side’s pursuit of Al-Ahli’s Ivan Toney.”

Chance it happens in January
1%
Long shot
Value
€19m
Powered byTransfer Tracker

Newcastle linked with January move for Ivan Toney

The situation

Newcastle United are being linked with a January move for Ivan Toney, the Al Ahli striker who played under current Newcastle manager Matthias Jaissle before Jaissle took over at St James' Park. The latest reports describe Newcastle as considering a move and having set their sights on Toney ahead of the window, with Manchester United also watching him as they look to cover for an injury to Benjamin Šeško. Nothing here is a bid or an agreement. It is interest, and competing interest at that, with no negotiations confirmed between any clubs.

The reporting

Every outlet carrying this is a tabloid or an aggregator relaying other reports, several of them pointing back to a transfer expert or to Saudi media, and no trusted reporter has backed any of it. Sport Witness was carrying it by 28 October, repeating a claim rather than breaking it. Multiple posts repeat the same handful of threads: Jaissle's personal push, Toney's reported openness to a return, and Manchester United's parallel monitoring. That is one core story told several times, not several independent ones.

The outlook

The chance of this happening by the time the January window shuts is slim. Toney has 18 months left on his Al Ahli contract when that window opens, so any deal needs Al Ahli willing to sell, a fee agreed, and Newcastle winning out over Manchester United's interest. None of that is in place. He is valued at €20m today, but no club has made an offer at any figure.

What happens next

What would move this on is a concrete step: an actual bid from Newcastle or Manchester United, or confirmation that Jaissle's interest has translated into formal talks with Al Ahli.

Sources the analyst weighedSport WitnessTrust 55
Written by the Transfer Tracker Analyst from the reports on this page, checked against our live numbers
Follow for alerts
Historical precedent
2024BrentfordAl-AhliAl-Ahli from Brentford€42m
2020PeterboroughBrentfordBrentford from Peterborough€5.6m
2018NewcastlePeterboroughPeterborough from Newcastle€0.4m

Ivan Toney’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.

Who is behind this story
Football InsiderTabloid
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 5 Nov
Trust 55
Sport WitnessEarliest mention
Outlet · Premier League
2 reports on this storyfirst 28 Oct
Trust 55
CaughtOffsideAggregator
Outlet · Premier League
2 reports on this storyfirst 28 Oct
Trust 50
Transfer News LiveAggregator
Outlet · Global · Quoting Football Insider and CaughtOffside and Khalid Al-Shenaif
3 reports on this storyfirst 29 Oct
Trust 46
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Ivan Toney to join Newcastle United?

Transfer Tracker rates Ivan Toney to Newcastle United at 1%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.

Where else could Ivan Toney go?

Besides Newcastle United, Transfer Tracker's model rates Ivan Toney's other live options as Manchester United 1%.

Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.