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Broke 1d ago ·

Marco Carnesecchi to Manchester United

Goalkeeper · 26y · Italy · contract until 2028
12%
Chance it happens in January
Estimated fee
€20m–€28m
Powered by Transfer TrackerValue
€34m
Reporters
1 credible
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted.
  • Man UnitedMan UnitedThis rumour
  • Other clubNot yet named
  • AtalantaStays at AtalantaNo move
What the number is based on
  • Reporting1 trusted reporterNicolo SchiraFor the move
  • ContractRuns to June 20281 year 8 months left
  • Manchester UnitedDebts limit spendingMoves from Serie A to Premier League are commonAgainst the move
  • FeeEstimated €20m–€28mValue €34m
The story so far
1 report · newest first
  1. Nicolo SchiraTrust 72First reportFirst reportReport

    “🚨 Excl. - A #ManchesterUnited’s scout is today at Brianteo Stadium to watch the game between Monza and #Atalanta to monitore the goalkeeper Marco #Carnesecchi. #MUFC are also looking for the striker Gustavo #Varela (born in 2005).”

Chance it happens in January
12%
Long shot
Estimated fee
€20m–€28m
Value
€34m
Powered byTransfer Tracker

United scout Carnesecchi again, but it's early days

Written on 9 Nov 2026, before the latest reports. The ring above is live.

The situation

Manchester United are watching Marco Carnesecchi again, but nothing beyond scouting has happened. Nicolo Schira first reported it on 8 November, revealing that a United scout was at the Brianteo Stadium to watch Carnesecchi during Monza's game against Atalanta. That is concrete interest from a club casting an eye over the goalkeeper market, but it stops well short of contact, let alone a bid or an asking price from Atalanta.

The reporting

Schira's report is the only one carrying this story, and nobody else has matched it. He is a trusted reporter and his detail is specific, naming the fixture and the purpose of the visit, but a single scouting mission reported by one voice is a long way from a transfer taking shape. No figures, no asking price and no indication of United's intentions beyond observation have surfaced anywhere.

The outlook

Given how early this sits, a move in the January window looks unlikely. Carnesecchi has 18 months left on his contract when that window opens, so Atalanta are under no pressure to sell, and nothing suggests they would even consider it midseason. A scouting report is the first step in a much longer process, not a sign talks are near.

What happens next

Carnesecchi is valued at €35m. For this to go anywhere, United would need to follow up with actual contact, and Atalanta would need to signal any willingness to do business, something nothing here suggests yet. Any firmer repeat of the scouting interest, or a concrete approach, would be the next real marker.

Sources the analyst weighedNicolo SchiraTrust 72
Written by the Transfer Tracker Analyst from the reports on this page, checked against our live numbers
Follow for alerts
Historical precedent
Atalanta U19 from Cesena U17€1.9m

Marco Carnesecchi’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.

Who is behind this story
Nicolo SchiraFirst report
Journalist · Global
1 report on this storyfirst 8 Nov
Trust 72
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Marco Carnesecchi to join Manchester United?

Transfer Tracker rates Marco Carnesecchi to Manchester United at 12%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.

What is the expected Marco Carnesecchi transfer fee?

Transfer Tracker estimates the fee for Marco Carnesecchi to Manchester United at around €20m–€28m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €34m.

Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.