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Tabloid reports onlyBroke 8d ago ·

Murillo to Liverpool

Defender · 24y · Brazil · contract until 2030
1%
Chance it happens in January

No trusted reporter yet. Stories like this complete 6 in 100 times.

Carried by FootballTransfers (aggregator) and TEAMtalk (tabloid).
Reported fee
€82m–€125m
Powered by Transfer TrackerValue
€55m
Reporters
1
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted. Open a club for its rumour.
What the number is based on
  • ReportingNo trusted reporter2 outlets, all tabloids or aggregatorsAgainst the move
  • ContractRuns to June 20303 years 8 months leftAgainst the move
  • LiverpoolSpending close to its limitAgainst the move
  • FeeReported €82m–€125mValue €55m
The story so far
2 reports · newest first
  1. TEAMtalkTrust 55TabloidTabloidReport

    “Liverpool accelerate stunning 2027 signing as two leading targets revealed. The Reds have two 'leading targets' as they prepare for a big arrival at Anfield next year, according to a report…”

    In the article“Nottingham Forest star Murillo has emerged as one of two key targets for Liverpool as they prepare for life after Virgil van Dijk, as per a report.”

  2. FootballTransfersTrust 55Earliest mentionEarliest mentionReport

    “Liverpool want €125m duo as transfer pursuit confirmed. Liverpool have reportedly identified Nottingham Forest's Murillo and Borussia Dortmund’s Nico Schlotterbeck as two key transfer targets for 2027 as they look to bolster their defensive roster.”

Chance it happens in January
1%
Long shot
Reported fee
€82m–€125m
Value
€55m
Powered byTransfer Tracker

Liverpool linked with Murillo for 2027, but sourcing is thin

The situation

Liverpool are said to have identified Murillo as one of two defensive targets for next year, alongside Borussia Dortmund's Nico Schlotterbeck, as they plan for additions at Anfield in 2027. No Premier League window is open today, and nothing can be finalised until January 2027 opens on 1 January and closes on 1 February. Murillo has 42 months left on his Nottingham Forest contract at that point, with the deal running until 30 June 2030, so there is no pressure on Forest to sell from a contract running down.

The reporting

FootballTransfers first reported it on 1 November, naming an asking figure of €125m for Murillo, and TEAMtalk followed on 2 November describing him and Schlotterbeck as 'leading targets' for Liverpool's plans next year. TEAMtalk has since floated a lower €82m asking figure. No trusted reporter has backed the story, so this sits as a thin tabloid link rather than anything corroborated.

The outlook

Given Murillo is valued at €55m, the gap between that figure and the €125m or €82m asking numbers floating around is striking, and it is one reason to treat this as a long shot for now. Forest have no need to sell a 24 year old defender tied down into 2030, Liverpool have not had a bid reported, and the interest itself rests on a single tabloid chain rather than anything with weight behind it. For this to move anywhere, Liverpool would need to show genuine intent once the window opens, and Forest would need a reason to even consider business.

What to watch

Watch for any firmer reporting once the January window nears, any change in asking figures, or a credible outlet picking up the story before it can be taken seriously.

Sources the analyst weighedFootballTransfersTrust 55TEAMtalkTrust 55
Written by the Transfer Tracker Analyst from the reports on this page, checked against our live numbers
Follow for alerts
Money trail
Reported fee €82m–€125mValue €55m
€82mTEAMtalk
€125mFootballTransfers
Historical precedent
2023CorinthiansNott'm ForestNott'm Forest from Corinthians€12m

Murillo’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.

Who is behind this story
FootballTransfersEarliest mention
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 1 Nov
Trust 55
TEAMtalkTabloid
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 2 Nov
Trust 55
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Murillo to join Liverpool?

Transfer Tracker rates Murillo to Liverpool at 1%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.

What is the expected Murillo transfer fee?

Reports put the fee for Murillo to Liverpool at around €82m–€125m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €55m.

Where else could Murillo go?

Besides Liverpool, Transfer Tracker's model rates Murillo's other live options as Manchester United 4%.

Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.