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Broke 12h ago ·

Nathan Collins to Manchester United

Defender · 25y · Republic of Ireland · contract until 2029
10%
Chance it happens in January
Estimated fee
€34m–€48m
Powered by Transfer TrackerValue
€40m
Reporters
1 credible
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted.
  • Man UnitedMan UnitedThis rumour
  • Other clubNot yet named
  • BrentfordStays at BrentfordNo move
What the number is based on
  • Reporting1 trusted reporterMail SportFor the move
  • ContractRuns to June 20292 years 8 months leftAgainst the move
  • Manchester UnitedDebts limit spendingAgainst the move
  • FeeEstimated €34m–€48mValue €40m
The story so far
3 reports · newest first
  1. Mail SportTrust 50via Transfer News CentralReport

    “Manchester United have added Brentford centre-back Nathan Collins and Fulham's Calvin Bassey to their list of possible January targets.”

    ESPN FCTrust 80Second-handSecond-handBroadcasterReport

    “Transfer rumors, news: Man United add Brentford defender Collins to shortlist. Brentford center back Nathan Collins has been added to Manchester United's list of defensive options. Transfer Talk has the latest.”

    CaughtOffsideTrust 50Earliest mentionEarliest mentionFull post

    “Manchester United eye signing of Premier League star to make up for summer transfer error. Manchester United are reportedly eyeing up a potential transfer move for Brentford centre-back Nathan Collins for January after failing to strengthen in that position in the summer.”

Chance it happens in January
10%
Long shot
Estimated fee
€34m–€48m
Value
€40m
Powered byTransfer Tracker

Man United place Nathan Collins on January defensive shortlist

The situation

Manchester United have put Nathan Collins on a list of defensive options for January, after a run that saw them concede 15 goals in five matches. The reporting is a shortlist link and nothing firmer: no bid, no approach, no talks with Brentford. United failed to strengthen at centre back in the summer and are now casting around, with Collins one name among several.

The reporting

Four outlets carry the story on 11 November, and they all point back to the same place. Mail Sport is the origin, relayed by Transfer News Live, which adds that Fulham's Calvin Bassey sits alongside Collins on the January list. CaughtOffside was carrying it by 11 November, citing the Daily Mail, and ESPN FC repeats a Transfer Talk item. Several names, one voice. Nobody reports a figure.

The outlook

This is a slim prospect for January. Collins has 30 months left on his Brentford deal when the window opens on 1 January 2027, plus a club option for two more years, so Brentford hold every card and need not sell. A shortlist is a long way from a deal, and until United turn interest into a formal approach, there is little here.

The context

For scale, Manchester United paid FC Bayern Munchen €45m for Matthijs de Ligt in 2024. Brentford paid Wolverhampton Wanderers €27m for Collins in 2023, and he is valued at €40m today, so any real move would not come cheap.

What happens next

What changes this is a first bid landing on Brentford's desk, or United settling on Collins ahead of Bassey and Branthwaite. Right now it is a name on a list.

Sources the analyst weighedCaughtOffsideTrust 50ESPN FCTrust 80
Written by the Transfer Tracker Analyst from the reports on this page, checked against our live numbers
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Historical precedent
2023WolvesBrentfordBrentford from Wolves€27m
2022BurnleyWolvesWolves from Burnley€24m
2021Stoke CityBurnleyBurnley from Stoke City€14m

Nathan Collins’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.

Who is behind this story
CaughtOffsideEarliest mention
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 11 Nov
Trust 50
ESPN FCRepeats another report
Outlet · Global
1 report on this storyfirst 11 Nov
Trust 80
Transfer News CentralAggregator
Outlet · Premier League · Quoting Mail Sport
1 report on this storyfirst 11 Nov
Trust 50
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Nathan Collins to join Manchester United?

Transfer Tracker rates Nathan Collins to Manchester United at 10%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.

What is the expected Nathan Collins transfer fee?

Transfer Tracker estimates the fee for Nathan Collins to Manchester United at around €34m–€48m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €40m.

Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.