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Broke 18d ago ·

Nico Paz to Manchester United

Midfielder · 22y · Argentina · contract until 2028
0%
Chance it happens in January
Estimated fee
€62m–€88m
Powered by Transfer TrackerValue
€109m
Reporters
1 credible
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted. Open a club for its rumour.
What the number is based on
  • Reporting1 trusted reporterNicolo SchiraFor the move
  • ContractRuns to June 20281 year 8 months left
  • Manchester UnitedDebts limit spendingMoves from Serie A to Premier League are commonAgainst the move
  • FeeEstimated €62m–€88mValue €109m
The story so far
3 reports · newest first
  1. El NacionalTrust 46via Transfer News LiveFull post

    “🚨 Manchester United are interested in signing Como midfielder Nico Paz and could make a major offer in January. The 22-year-old Argentine has registered five goals and six assists in 11 matches this season.”

  2. Nicolo SchiraTrust 46via Transfer News LiveFull post

    “🚨 Chelsea and Manchester United are monitoring Como midfielder Nico Paz ahead of next season. Real Madrid have an €80M buyback clause valid from July 1 to July 15 next summer. Como want to keep Paz as they look to build an increasingly stronger team.”

  3. ESPN FCTrust 80Earliest mentionEarliest mentionBroadcasterReport

    “Transfer rumors, news: Como's Paz destroyed Man United, now they want to sign him. Manchester United are monitoring Como attacking midfielder Nico Paz ahead of next season, while Chelsea are also keen. Transfer Talk has the latest.”

Chance it happens in January
0%
Long shot
Estimated fee
€62m–€88m
Value
€109m
Powered byTransfer Tracker

Nico Paz: Man United interest building, but a summer story for now

The situation

Manchester United's interest in Nico Paz is real but still a long way from a deal, and every report so far points to next summer rather than January. The most recent, from El Nacional, says United could make a major offer in January and might move for Paz if Bruno Fernandes leaves, but it also flags that Real Madrid hold an €80m buy-back option, a clause that complicates any approach Como cannot control. Paz has five goals and six assists in 11 games this season, which explains the growing interest, but nothing resembling a bid or formal approach has been reported.

The reporting

The story has built gradually since late October. ESPN FC was carrying it by 23 October, and CaughtOffside, Transfer News Live relaying Nicolo Schira, and Transfer News Live relaying El Nacional have each repeated versions of the same core claim: United and Chelsea are monitoring Paz, with Arsenal also mentioned. No outlet has added a fee, a timeline beyond next summer, or any sign of direct contact. This is one storyline told several times, not several separate ones.

The outlook

Given the lack of any bid, Real Madrid's buy-back clause, and the fact the interest is framed around next summer, a move happening before the January window shuts looks unlikely. Como also want to keep hold of him as they build their squad, another factor working against any quick resolution.

What happens next

The clearest trigger would be Real Madrid activating or waiving that buy-back clause between 1 and 15 July next year, or United actually lodging an offer once the window allows it.

Sources the analyst weighedESPN FCTrust 80El Nacional and Nicolo Schira via Transfer News LiveTrust 46
Written by the Transfer Tracker Analyst from the reports on this page, checked against our live numbers
Follow for alerts
Historical precedent
2024Real MadridComoComo from Real Madrid€6m

Nico Paz’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.

Who is behind this story
ESPN FCEarliest mention
Outlet · Global
1 report on this storyfirst 23 Oct
Trust 80
Transfer News LiveAggregator
Outlet · Global · Quoting El Nacional and Nicolo Schira
2 reports on this storyfirst 24 Oct
Trust 46
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Nico Paz to join Manchester United?

Transfer Tracker rates Nico Paz to Manchester United at 0%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.

What is the expected Nico Paz transfer fee?

Transfer Tracker estimates the fee for Nico Paz to Manchester United at around €62m–€88m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €109m.

Where else could Nico Paz go?

Besides Manchester United, Transfer Tracker's model rates Nico Paz's other live options as Tottenham Hotspur 2%, Arsenal 1%.

Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.