“🚨🧤EXCL | Oliver Baumann is currently FC Bayern’s preferred solution for the summer, based on his profile. Jonas Urbig is set to become the new No. 1, with an experienced GK wanted as a back-up. No contact with any of the candidates yet.”
Broke 16h ago ·
- Estimated fee
- €1m–€2m
- Value
- €2m
- Reporters
- 1 credible
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted.
BayernThis rumour- Other clubNot yet named
Stays at TSG HoffenheimNo move
- Reporting1 trusted reporterSky Sport Deutschland (Florian Plettenberg)For the move
- ContractRuns to June 2028His club holds an option to extend
- FC Bayern MünchenRoom to spendFor the move
- FeeEstimated €1m–€2mValue €2m
The story so far
1 report · newest firstFlorian PlettenbergTrust 83First reportFirst reportFull post
Chance it happens in JanuaryLong shot
7%
- Estimated fee
- €1m–€2m
- Value
- €2m Powered by
Baumann a Bayern back-up idea for summer, no contact yet
The situation
This is a Bayern idea for next summer, nothing nearer. Florian Plettenberg reports that Oliver Baumann, the 36-year-old Hoffenheim goalkeeper, is currently Bayern's preferred choice as an experienced back-up, with Jonas Urbig set to become the club's new No. 1. The key detail sits in the same report: there has been no contact with any of the candidates yet, and further internal meetings are planned. So this is Bayern weighing a profile, not pursuing a signing.
The reporting
One source carries it. Plettenberg first reported it on 9 November, flagged as an exclusive, and no other outlet has matched it. There is a single voice here, and that voice describes an early internal preference rather than a negotiation.
The outlook
The chance of this happening by the February deadline is slim, and the reason is plain. Bayern are thinking about the summer, not January, and no contact has been made with Baumann or anyone else. Baumann also has 18 months left on his Hoffenheim contract when the January window opens, with a club option beyond that, so Hoffenheim hold the cards. For this to move at all, Bayern would first need to actually approach him after their internal meetings conclude.
What happens next
What would shift it is concrete: Bayern deciding internally to pursue a back-up and opening contact with Baumann, or a second outlet confirming any of that. Until then this reads as a name on a shortlist for next summer, formed inside Bayern and not yet acted on.
Sources the analyst weighedFlorian PlettenbergTrust 83
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Historical precedent
2014Hoffenheim from Freiburg€5.5m
Oliver Baumann’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.
Who is behind this story
Florian PlettenbergFirst report
Journalist · Global
1 report on this storyfirst 9 Nov
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Oliver Baumann to join FC Bayern München?
Transfer Tracker rates Oliver Baumann to FC Bayern München at 7%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.
What is the expected Oliver Baumann transfer fee?
Transfer Tracker estimates the fee for Oliver Baumann to FC Bayern München at around €1m–€2m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €2m.
Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.