“Renewed attempt to sign Tottenham player in January – Spurs flexibility needed. Trabzonspor haven’t given up on Tottenham Hotspur‘s Richarlison after missing out on signing him in the summer.”
Broke 60d ago ·
- Fee
- Bid €10m · our estimate €10m–€13m
- Valuehow
- €24m
- Reporters
- 2 · 1 credible
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted. Open a club for its rumour.
TrabzonsporThis rumour
GalatasarayRumour page- Other clubNot yet named
Stays at SpursNo move
The story so far
Now▲Up 19%since Sat · was 10%4 reports · newest first
- 10%29%▲ 19%
Sport WitnessTrust 55AggregatorAggregatorFull post - 20%10%▼ 10%
Graeme BaileyTrust 78Report “Tottenham Hotspur are working with Richarlison’s camp and intermediaries to find the forward a new club after his proposed move to Trabzonspor collapsed before the Turkish transfer deadline, @TEAMtalk can reveal. Options in three countries are emerging.”
- 19%20%▲ 1%
Sky Sports NewsTrust 86Second-handSecond-handBroadcasterReport “Papers: Wantaway Spurs striker Richarlison agrees Trabzonspor terms. The top stories and transfer rumours from Thursday's newspapers…”
Fabrizio RomanoTrust 89First reportFirst reportReport “🚨🇹🇷 BREAKING: Richarlison has agreed to join Trabzonspor with salary agreed, x3 more than what he currently earns at Tottenham. Spurs rejected two bids worth £15m and £20m; new proposal anticipated soon. Trabzonspor want Richy as priority.”
Chance it happens in JanuaryOutside chance
29%
- Fee
- Bid €10m · our estimate €10m–€13m
- Value
- €24m Powered by
Richarlison to Trabzonspor: new €10m bid emerges, gap remains
The situation
Richarlison's move to Trabzonspor has been through a full cycle already. Back in September, Fabrizio Romano reported terms agreed and a salary triple his Tottenham wage, with Spurs knocking back two bids before the deal fell apart at the Turkish deadline. Since then Tottenham have been working to find him a new club entirely, with TEAMtalk describing options in three countries. Now Trabzonspor are back in the picture, with a reported €10m bid on the table. There is no mention of Tottenham's response to that fresh offer, so the picture is of renewed interest rather than a fresh rejection.
The reporting
The sourcing here is layered. Fabrizio Romano broke the story first, on 2 September, and remains the top voice on the financial detail, including the earlier €24m figure. Sky Sports News corroborated the September terms agreement independently. Graeme Bailey, rated reliable, later reported the collapse and Tottenham's search for alternatives. The new €10m bid comes from Sport Witness alone, a single, so far uncorroborated link.
The outlook
Getting this done is a long shot for now. No transfer window for Super Lig clubs is open today, so nothing can be finalised until January 2027 at the earliest. Richarlison's contract runs to the end of next June, and he could in theory agree a pre-contract with a foreign club once January arrives, though Trabzonspor would still need Tottenham's agreement to sign him mid-contract in that window. This site's own estimate of his value sits at €24m, well above the reported €10m bid, and that gap is the main obstacle.
What to watch
Watch for how Tottenham respond to the €10m bid, and whether Trabzonspor return with an improved offer once the January window opens.
Sources the analyst weighedFabrizio RomanoTrust 89Sky Sports NewsTrust 86Graeme BaileyTrust 78Sport WitnessTrust 55
Follow for alerts
Money trail
Our estimate €10m–€13mValue €24m
€10mSport Witness
€24mFabrizio Romano
Historical precedent
2022
Tottenham from Everton€58m
Tottenham from Everton€58m2018
Everton from Watford€39m
Everton from Watford€39m2017
Watford from Fluminense€12m
Watford from Fluminense€12m2016
Fluminense from América-MG€2.4m
Fluminense from América-MG€2.4mRicharlison’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.
Who is behind this story
Fabrizio RomanoFirst reportBid rejected
Journalist · Global
1 report on this storyfirst 2 Sep
Sky Sports NewsTalks advancedRepeats another report
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 2 Sep
Graeme BaileyTalks cooling
Journalist · Global
1 report on this storyfirst 5 Sep
Sport WitnessReports interestRepeats another reportAggregator
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 1 Nov
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Richarlison to join Trabzonspor?
Transfer Tracker rates Richarlison to Trabzonspor at 29%, an outside chance on the current reporting from 2 reporters.
What is the expected Richarlison transfer fee?
Transfer Tracker estimates the fee for Richarlison to Trabzonspor at around €10m–€13m, beside a reported bid of €10m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €24m.
Where else could Richarlison go?
Besides Trabzonspor, Transfer Tracker's model rates Richarlison's other live options as Galatasaray 1%.
Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice · Methodology