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Tabloid reports onlyBroke 20d ago ·
Defender · 28y · England · contract until 2031
1%
Chance it happens in January

No trusted reporter yet. Stories like this complete 6 in 100 times.

Carried by Simon Phillips via CaughtOffside (aggregator), Simon Phillips via Transfer News Live (aggregator), Mirror Football (tabloid), @bernabeudigitai via Transfer News Live (aggregator), TEAMtalk (tabloid), Si Phillips via Transfer News Live (aggregator), Football Insider (tabloid), @footballinsider via Transfer News Live (aggregator) and football.london (tabloid).
Fee
Not reported
Powered by Transfer TrackerValue
€62m
Reporters
4
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted. Open a club for its rumour.
What the number is based on
  • ReportingNo trusted reporter9 outlets, all tabloids or aggregatorsAgainst the move
  • ContractRuns to June 20314 years 8 months leftAgainst the move
  • ChelseaSpending close to its limitMoves from La Liga to Premier League are commonAgainst the move
  • FeeNot reportedValue €62m
The story so far
12 reports · newest first
  1. football.londonTrust 62TabloidTabloidReport

    “Chelsea sent Trent Alexander-Arnold transfer instruction as Real Madrid frustration continues. Chelsea have been told to sign Trent Alexander-Arnold from Real Madrid with the former Liverpool defender struggling for game time in the Spanish capital at the moment…”

  2. Football InsiderTrust 50via Transfer News CentralReport

    “Chelsea have been linked with a move for former Liverpool right-back Trent Alexander-Arnold if the Real Madrid player becomes available.”

    footballinsiderTrust 46via Transfer News LiveFull post

    “🚨 Chelsea are interested in signing Real Madrid right-back Trent Alexander-Arnold, who could be tempted by a move. The 28-year-old has fallen down the pecking order under Jose Mourinho, raising doubts about his future at Real Madrid.”

  3. Football InsiderTrust 55TabloidTabloidReport

    “Trent Alexander-Arnold 'tempted' by 'surprise' Chelsea move…”

  4. TEAMtalkTrust 55TabloidTabloidReport

    “Top source reveals Chelsea want to sign Trent Alexander-Arnold after Real Madrid decision. Amid minimal playing time at Real Madrid, Chelsea have set their sights on Alexander-Arnold, with the chances of a transfer already revealed…”

  5. SPSimon PhillipsTrust 50Earliest mentionEarliest mentionvia CaughtOffsideFull post

    “Chelsea ready to launch ambitious move to sign Real Madrid star if opportunity arises. Chelsea are reportedly ready to consider an ambitious potential transfer move for Real Madrid right-back Trent Alexander-Arnold if he becomes available.”

Chance it happens in January
1%
Long shot
Value
€62m
Powered byTransfer Tracker

Chelsea linked with Alexander-Arnold, but Madrid show no sign of selling

The situation

Chelsea's interest in Trent Alexander-Arnold refuses to go away, but nothing concrete has followed it. The latest line, carried by football.london on 5 November, claims Chelsea have been "sent a transfer instruction" to sign him given his lack of game time under Jose Mourinho at Real Madrid. That is a step short of an approach: no fee, no personal terms, and no sign Real Madrid are willing to let him go. Xabi Alonso is reported to rate him highly and Chelsea's need at right-back has sharpened since Reece James had knee surgery, but Alexander-Arnold is contracted in Madrid until June 2031 and, by the most credible word out of Spain, intends to fight for his place rather than leave in January.

The reporting

Every outlet running this story is a tabloid or an aggregator, and most are repeating the same handful of voices, chiefly Simon Phillips and Football Insider, recycled across Transfer News Live, Transfer News Central, TEAMtalk and football.london through October and into November. CaughtOffside carried Simon Phillips's report by 21 October. No trusted reporter has backed any of it, and nobody has added a fee or a timeframe beyond vague talk of January.

The outlook

With Real Madrid showing no appetite to sell and the player reportedly committed to proving himself there, this looks unlikely to happen in the window that opens on 1 January 2027. Liverpool are also circling, which only muddies Chelsea's path further.

What happens next

Nothing changes until Real Madrid's stance shifts, Alexander-Arnold signals he wants out, or Chelsea actually table a bid rather than an instruction.

Sources the analyst weighedSimon Phillips via CaughtOffsideTrust 50@footballinsider, Si Phillips and others via Transfer News LiveTrust 46TEAMtalkTrust 55Football InsiderTrust 55football.londonTrust 62Football Insider via Transfer News CentralTrust 50
Written by the Transfer Tracker Analyst from the reports on this page, checked against our live numbers
Follow for alerts
Historical precedent
2025LiverpoolReal MadridReal Madrid from Liverpool€10m

Trent Alexander-Arnold’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.

Who is behind this story
CaughtOffsideEarliest mention
Outlet · Premier League · Quoting Simon Phillips
1 report on this storyfirst 21 Oct
Trust 50
football.londonTabloid
Outlet · Premier League
2 reports on this storyfirst 30 Oct
Trust 62
Mirror FootballTabloid
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 23 Oct
Trust 60
TEAMtalkTabloid
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 28 Oct
Trust 55
Football InsiderTabloid
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 29 Oct
Trust 55
Transfer News CentralAggregator
Outlet · Premier League · Quoting Football Insider
1 report on this storyfirst 30 Oct
Trust 50
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Trent Alexander-Arnold to join Chelsea?

Transfer Tracker rates Trent Alexander-Arnold to Chelsea at 1%, a longshot on the current reporting from 4 reporters.

Where else could Trent Alexander-Arnold go?

Besides Chelsea, Transfer Tracker's model rates Trent Alexander-Arnold's other live options as Liverpool 4%.

Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.