Source

BBC Sport

Publisher · Premier League beat · Trust 92/100 · 2 live stories · @bbcsport

Every live transfer story BBC Sport is behind, scored by probability · and how their reporting holds up, from Transfer Tracker's source-credibility engine.

How reliable is BBC Sport?

180 of 185 settled calls landed. A settled call is a done-grade report checked against the transfer register. That record feeds the credibility weight every BBC Sport story carries in our probability model · how the scoring works · all sources.

Track record: what happened to the moves BBC Sport reported

• Interest and links: 17 of 27 happened, above the 32% average
• Talks and bids: 27 of 44 happened, in line with the 61% average

• Premier League moves: talks 18 of 29 happened · interest 16 of 24 happened

13 completed moves reported first.

Each call is checked against the official transfer register for moves reported since 1 Jan 2026. Only calls made before a move was announced count. A reporter is rated on each kind of call (interest, talks, or agreement and done deal) once 20 of those calls have been graded. Updated 21 Oct 2026. How we grade sources.

Live stories BBC Sport is behind

• Jadon Sancho: to Getafe · 22%
• JJ Gabriel: Manchester United → Real Madrid · 38%

Done-deal calls · 180 landed · 5 collapsed

• ✗ Lamine Camara → Chelsea · Done 2026-09-01 · deal collapsed
• ✓ Mikey Moore → FC Köln · Done 2026-10-15 · deal completed
• ✓ Daniel Carvajal → Getafe · Done 2026-10-13 · deal completed
• ✓ Rabbi Matondo → Hibernian · Done 2026-10-07 · deal completed
• ✓ Chris Smalling → Porto · Done 2026-10-01 · deal completed
• ✓ Philippe Coutinho → Santos · Done 2026-09-15 · deal completed
• ✓ Jamie Vardy → Burnley · Done 2026-09-06 · deal completed
• ✓ Yann Gboho → Coventry City · Done 2026-09-04 · deal completed
• ✓ Sam Johnstone → Celtic · Done 2026-09-02 · deal completed
• ✓ Enzo Fernández → Manchester City · Done 2026-09-01 · deal completed
• ✓ Malick Fofana → Sunderland · Done 2026-09-01 · deal completed
• ✗ Folarin Balogun → Everton · Fee agreed 2026-08-31 · deal collapsed
• ✓ Ben Chilwell → Crystal Palace · Done 2026-09-01 · deal completed
• ✓ Manuel Ángel → Fulham · Done 2026-09-01 · deal completed
• ✓ Robinio Vaz → Hull City · Done 2026-09-03 · deal completed

• Sources · who gets it right
• All live transfer rumours, scored by probability

See the full credibility read and live stories. Open on transfertracker.ai