Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted.
3%Man UnitedThis rumour
?15%Other clubNot yet named
82%Stays at InterNo move
What the number is based on
Reporting1 trusted reporterGianluca Di MarzioFor the move
ContractRuns to June 20281 year 8 months left
Manchester UnitedDebts limit spendingMoves from Serie A to Premier League are commonAgainst the move
FeeBid €8m · our estimate €8m–€10mValue €40m
The story so far
2 reports · newest first
3Nov
Gianluca Di MarzioTrust90First reportFirst reportReport ↗
“.@Inter-Dimarco, esercitata l’opzione per il rinnovo fino al 2028: ora la trattativa per prolungare il contratto…”
Translated from Italian by Transfer TrackerInter-Dimarco: the option to extend until 2028 has been exercised; now negotiations are underway to extend the contract further
“Man Utd offered €7.5m opportunity to sign world-class left-back. Manchester United need to rekindle their interest in this high-profile left-back.”
Chance it happens in January
3%
Long shot
Fee
Bid €8m · our estimate €8m–€10m
Value
€40m
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AuthorTransfer Tracker AnalystLast updated3 Nov 2026StatusUp to date
Dimarco to Man United: talk of a bid clashes with Inter renewal
The situation
Federico Dimarco's name has surfaced as a Manchester United target, but the actual news of the day points the other way entirely.Gianluca Di Marzio first reported it on 3 November that Inter have exercised an option to extend his contract to 2028, and that the two sides are now working on prolonging it further. That is hardly the backdrop of a player being eased out of the door, and it sits oddly alongside any suggestion United might prise him away.
The reporting
FootballTransfers has reported a €8m bid from Manchester United's side, which is the only figure attached to any approach. Beyond that, the sourcing is thin. Di Marzio, the most reliable voice in Italian football reporting, is talking about a new Inter contract, not a sale, and no second outlet has corroborated active United interest in the way the contract story has been corroborated.
The outlook
Treat this as a long shot. Dimarco is valued at €40m, and an €8m to €10m offer falls so far short of that figure that it barely counts as an opening position. With 18 months left on his deal once the January window opens, Inter have no pressure to sell, and a release-valve renewal makes a departure even less likely before next summer at the earliest.
What to watch
Watch for confirmation of the Inter renewal first. Only if that stalls, and United return with an offer closer to €40m when the window opens on 1 January 2027, does this move from gossip toward anything real.
Sources the analyst weighedFootballTransfersTrust55Gianluca Di MarzioTrust90
Follow for alerts
Money trail
Our estimate €8m–€10mValue €40m
€0€20m€40m€60m
€8mFootballTransfers
Bid
Historical precedent
2018Inter from FC Sion€5m
Federico Dimarco’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.
FootballTransfersEarliest mentionReports interestRepeats another reportAggregator
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 26 Oct
Trust55
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Federico Dimarco to join Manchester United?
Transfer Tracker rates Federico Dimarco to Manchester United at 3%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.
What is the expected Federico Dimarco transfer fee?
Transfer Tracker estimates the fee for Federico Dimarco to Manchester United at around €8m–€10m, beside a reported bid of €8m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €40m.
Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice · Methodology