“🚨🧤EXCL | Loris Karius now also on FC Bayern’s shortlist due to his experience and performances. 33 y/o also fits the profile Bayern are looking for. His contract with Schalke 04 expires in 2028. Much will depend on whether Schalke manage to secure promotion or not.”
Broke 15h ago ·
- Estimated fee
- €588k–€824k
- Value
- €1m
- Reporters
- 1 credible
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted.
BayernThis rumour- Other clubNot yet named
Stays at Schalke 04No move
- Reporting1 trusted reporterSky Sport Deutschland (Florian Plettenberg)For the move
- ContractRuns to June 20281 year 8 months left
- FC Bayern MünchenRoom to spendFor the move
- FeeEstimated €588k–€824kValue €1m
The story so far
1 report · newest firstFlorian PlettenbergTrust 83First reportFirst reportFull post
Chance it happens in JanuaryLong shot
15%
- Estimated fee
- €588k–€824k
- Value
- €1m Powered by
Karius named on Bayern's goalkeeper shortlist
The situation
Loris Karius has been named on FC Bayern München's shortlist of goalkeepers, according to a report on 9 November 2026. Florian Plettenberg says the 33 year old fits the profile Bayern are after, pointing to his experience and his recent performances for Schalke 04, where his contract runs until 30 June 2028. No bid, approach or agreement has been reported. By Plettenberg's own account, much depends on whether Schalke secure promotion.
The reporting
The link rests on a single source. Florian Plettenberg, a trusted reporter, first reported it on 9 November, framing it as an exclusive. No other outlet has matched it, so what exists today is one voice describing a name on a list, nothing firmer.
The outlook
This is a slim prospect for the January 2027 window, which opens on 1 January and closes on 1 February. A shortlisting is a long way from a deal, and there is no fee, no talks and no sign Schalke are willing to let a contracted keeper go. For anything to move, Bayern would need to turn interest into a concrete approach, and the Schalke promotion question Plettenberg flagged would have to settle first.
What to watch
The trigger to watch for is a first Bayern approach to Schalke, or a report putting a figure on the table. Karius is valued at €1m, and he arrived at Schalke on a free in January 2025. Until Bayern firm up their intentions, this stays a speculative name on a list.
Sources the analyst weighedFlorian PlettenbergTrust 83
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Who is behind this story
Florian PlettenbergFirst report
Journalist · Global
1 report on this storyfirst 9 Nov
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Loris Karius to join FC Bayern München?
Transfer Tracker rates Loris Karius to FC Bayern München at 15%, a longshot on the current reporting from 1 reporter.
What is the expected Loris Karius transfer fee?
Transfer Tracker estimates the fee for Loris Karius to FC Bayern München at around €588k–€824k, against Transfer Tracker's value of €1m.
Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice.