“Arsenal risk losing influential star as Euro giants monitor his contract situation. Bayern Munich are reportedly interested in signing Arsenal captain Martin Odegaard, and the Norwegian international may be open to joining the German champions in the future.”
Broke 1d ago ·
- Fee
- Asking €80m · our estimate €52m–€80m
- Valuehow
- €81m
- Reporters
- 2 · 1 credible
Where he ends up in the January windowEvery outcome by the January deadline, adding up to 100%. A move in a later window is not counted.
BayernThis rumour- Other clubNot yet named
Stays at ArsenalNo move
The story so far
Now▼Down 1%since Thu · was 5%6 reports · newest first
- 5%4%▼ 1%
Sky Sport Deutschland50via CaughtOffsideFull post El Gol Digital52TabloidTabloidFull post “Odegaard mira al Bayern y frena la salida de Zubimendi al Real Madrid. El noruego recibe el llamado del Allianz Arena y complica la operación de la entidad blanca por el donostiarra. Mikel Arteta no quiere perder dos piezas en un solo movimiento.”
CaughtOffside50AggregatorAggregatorFull post “Talks held: Arsenal star can imagine himself sealing transfer to Euro giants. Arsenal captain Martin Odegaard can reportedly imagine himself at Bayern Munich following ongoing contact between himself and the Bundesliga giants down the years.”
Sport Witness55AggregatorAggregatorFull post “Arsenal ‘open to selling’ if player refuses renewal – Bayern Munich potential destination. Arsenal star Martin Ødegaard’s future with the Premier League winners needs sorting as he, at least reportedly, remains open to joining another top club.”
- Held at 5%
FussballTransfers55AggregatorAggregatorReport “Ödegaard offen für Bayern-Transfer…”
FussballTransfers55First reportAggregatorFirst reportReport “Ödegaard offen für Bayern-Transfer. Martin Ödegaard steht nur noch bis 2028 beim FC Arsenal unter Vertrag. Diese Konstellation sorgt zwangsläufig für Transfer-Spekulationen.”
Quotes in Spanish and German are shown as written. English translations are added for major stories.
The story
Bayern München are keen on Martin Ødegaard, in the region of €52m, €80m, with Arsenal his current club. FussballTransfers has it, but it is early days. Transfer Tracker scores it 4%, a longshot, on 2 distinct reporters. Transfer Tracker estimates the fee around €52m–€80m, beside a reported asking price of €80m.
A full desk briefing is being written for this story · the summary above tracks the live reporting meanwhile.
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Money trail
Our estimate €52m–€80mValue €81m
€80mFussballTransfers
Historical precedent
2021
Arsenal from Real Madrid€35m
Arsenal from Real Madrid€35m2015
RM Castilla from Strømsgodset€2.8m
RM Castilla from Strømsgodset€2.8mMartin Ødegaard’s real transfer fees, for context, not a prediction.
Who is behind this story
FussballTransfersFirst reportLinks the playerAggregator
Outlet · Bundesliga
2 reports on this storyfirst 29 Oct
Sport WitnessReports interestRepeats another reportAggregator
Outlet · Premier League
1 report on this storyfirst 30 Oct
El Gol DigitalReports interestRepeats another reportTabloid
Outlet · LaLiga
1 report on this storyfirst 30 Oct
CaughtOffsideReports interestRepeats another reportAggregator
Outlet · Premier League · Quoting Sky Sport Deutschland
2 reports on this storyfirst 30 Oct
Questions about this transfer
How likely is Martin Ødegaard to join FC Bayern München?
Transfer Tracker rates Martin Ødegaard to FC Bayern München at 4%, a longshot on the current reporting from 2 reporters.
What is the expected Martin Ødegaard transfer fee?
Transfer Tracker estimates the fee for Martin Ødegaard to FC Bayern München at around €52m–€80m, beside a reported asking price of €80m, against Transfer Tracker's value of €81m.
Probability & estimates are modelled opinions from public reporting · informational only, not fact or betting advice · Methodology