How likely is Rafael Leão to join Roma?

Transfer Tracker scores Rafael Leão to Roma at 12% probability, derived from the credibility of the reporters behind the story (currently at the "Interest" stage).

What is the expected Rafael Leão transfer fee?

The estimated fee for Rafael Leão to Roma is around €43m–€61m, based on the figures reported so far.

Where else could Rafael Leão go?

Besides Roma, Transfer Tracker's model rates Rafael Leão's other live options as Galatasaray 24%, Roma 12%.

Transfer Tracker.ai

Transfer intelligence

Transfer rumour · 2026

Rafael Leão to Roma

AC Milan → Roma · Probability 12% · fee €43m–€61m · rumour

Updated 1h ago

Roma are keen on Rafael Leão, in the region of €43m–€61m, with Milan his current club. Tavolieri has it, but it is early days.

Stage: Link → Interest

Where Rafael Leão could go: Galatasaray 24% · Roma 12% · stays 64%

How the story has moved

Sacha Tavolieri · Interest · 2026-08-17
“🚨🇵🇹 EXCLUSIVE : Rafael Leão offered to AS Roma! Jorge Mendes has proposed Rafael Leão to Roma on behalf of AC Milan today. 👀 Mendes wants to try to bring the Portuguese star to”

The money

The fee for Rafael Leão is reported around €43m–€61m, against a market value of €43m.

Read the full briefing, the sources behind it and the money trail. Open on transfertracker.ai

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Data as of 17 Aug 2026, 20:36 UTC · pages refresh several times daily · live numbers load in a moment.